When Expert Disagreement Hurts: Prestige and Selectivity in LLM Decision Revision

arXiv:2611.16694v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: When language models revise a decision after another agent disagrees, neither reversal counts nor final accuracy shows whether they are fixing mistakes or abandoning correct answers. We introduce a controlled two-pass audit that holds the question, the evidence, and the model's initial answer fixed and varies only the revision context: neutral reflection, anonymous disagreement, or disagreement attributed to a domain expert. For binary decisions the accounting is exact: revision raises accuracy only if it is selective enough, reversing wrong answers more than $a/(1-a)$ times as often as correct ones, where $a$ is initial accuracy (nine times at 90%). Across five models and 1,989 evidence-grounded decisions in medicine, science, and law, no model clears this bar under expert disagreement, and accuracy falls by up to 16.1 points. The expert label, a prestige cue, adds reversals for four of the five models, yet its effect on accuracy ranges from a 5.2-point loss to a 2.4-point gain, so reversal counts are a poor proxy for harm. With identical arguments from both sources, the label still raises reversal for three proprietary models and in a pooled analysis of four newer models. Models also respond to stated source reliability. Revision pipelines should therefore be evaluated with paired, conditional metrics, per model and protocol.
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When Expert Disagreement Hurts: Prestige and Selectivity in LLM Decision Revision