Abstract: Can a vision-language-action (VLA) policy signal likely task failure from its own action probabilities? We introduce CalVLA, which shapes native action-token confidence using successful and failed rollouts and an Action-Confidence Alignment (ACal) squared margin-ranking loss. Low-rank adapters update OpenVLA-7B without an auxiliary failure detector. Observations are paired within tasks at similar normalized elapsed times, not necessarily equivalent physical progress. On a held-out test split from 500 LIBERO-10 configurations, adapted confidence achieves a joint failure-discrimination AUROC of $0.7392\pm0.0480$ over three seeds, averaging scores at 130 and 260 steps. Frozen-policy probes reach 0.6146–0.6436, but superiority over the linear probe is statistically inconclusive. For the same confidence summary, AUROC rises from 0.4485 before adaptation to 0.7327 after adaptation. Mean task success decreases from 58% to 55%. These results show improved failure discrimination, not improved control or established safety benefits.
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CalVLA: Shaping Native Confidence in Vision-Language-Action Policies with Outcome Supervision
