Abstract: Expressway video anomaly detection is important for traffic safety, but remains challenging across diverse scenes, particularly for far-field vehicles with subtle abnormal motion. Vision-Language Models (VLMs) provide strong semantic reasoning capabilities, yet processing full frames can dilute evidence from distant targets and introduce substantial computational overhead. To address these challenges, we propose VIBES, an asynchronous framework that uses Bayesian inference to guide focused VLM reasoning. Specifically, an online kinematics-guided Bayesian inference module continuously estimates a context-dependent normal-motion distribution from vehicle trajectories and updates its probabilistic boundaries. Deviations from these boundaries produce asynchronous triggers that localize candidate anomalies in time and space. Instead of processing continuous full-frame video, the VLM reasons only over selected frames and localized visual regions associated with the triggers, reducing irrelevant visual content and unnecessary inference. Extensive experiments show that VIBES improves far-field anomaly detection and semantic interpretation while achieving real-time processing efficiency across diverse expressway conditions.
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