arXiv:2606.16337v4 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Predictive modeling for clinical decision support requires both strong predictive performance and transparent, auditable, and human-reviewable decision logic. Although deep learning and tree-based ensemble methods can achieve high accuracy, their black-box nature remains a major obstacle to trustworthy clinical deployment. Moreover, clinical prediction often operates under practical constraints, including limited sample sizes, severe class imbalance, and feature evolution arising from changes in diagnostic criteria or clinical documentation practices. We propose Medical Heuristic Learning (MHL), a constrained paradigm for LLM-assisted rule learning. Rather than relying on updates to implicit model weights, MHL integrates statistical probes, medical knowledge probes, initial rule synthesis, and iterative rule optimization to construct an executable rule-based expert system. The resulting rule system is expressed entirely using the native logical and control-flow constructs of a programming language. Valid rule versions are recorded and retained along the search trajectory, making the decision logic explicit, interpretable, and auditable. MHL also supports continual learning by using previously validated rules as a starting point and iteratively revising them in response to updated feature information under data drift or feature evolution. MHL is not tied to any specific programming language. Comprehensive experiments on medical datasets show that MHL achieves predictive performance comparable to that of state-of-the-art methods, performs favorably in small-sample and highly imbalanced settings, and supports the transfer and adaptive revision of validated rules under feature evolution. Overall, these findings suggest that non-gradient-based heuristic systems offer an approach to balancing predictive performance and transparency in clinical decision support.
Abstract: Predictive modeling for clinical decision support requires both strong predictive performance and transparent, auditable, and human-reviewable decision logic. Although deep learning and tree-based ensemble methods can achieve high accuracy, their black-box nature remains a major obstacle to trustworthy clinical deployment. Moreover, clinical prediction often operates under practical constraints, including limited sample sizes, severe class imbalance, and feature evolution arising from changes in diagnostic criteria or clinical documentation practices. We propose Medical Heuristic Learning (MHL), a constrained paradigm for LLM-assisted rule learning. Rather than relying on updates to implicit model weights, MHL integrates statistical probes, medical knowledge probes, initial rule synthesis, and iterative rule optimization to construct an executable rule-based expert system. The resulting rule system is expressed entirely using the native logical and control-flow constructs of a programming language. Valid rule versions are recorded and retained along the search trajectory, making the decision logic explicit, interpretable, and auditable. MHL also supports continual learning by using previously validated rules as a starting point and iteratively revising them in response to updated feature information under data drift or feature evolution. MHL is not tied to any specific programming language. Comprehensive experiments on medical datasets show that MHL achieves predictive performance comparable to that of state-of-the-art methods, performs favorably in small-sample and highly imbalanced settings, and supports the transfer and adaptive revision of validated rules under feature evolution. Overall, these findings suggest that non-gradient-based heuristic systems offer an approach to balancing predictive performance and transparency in clinical decision support.
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