Cultural Divergence Preservation: Diagnosing Flattening and Caricature in LLM-Simulated Survey Populations

arXiv:2609.29928v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as synthetic survey respondents to estimate population response distributions. In cross-cultural survey simulation, evaluations should assess not only distributional fidelity within countries but also whether differences across countries are preserved. However, existing distance-based metrics such as Jensen–Shannon divergence (JSD) do not directly capture such cross-country differences. To address this limitation, we introduce Cultural Divergence Preservation (CDP), a reference-light diagnostic based on a one-time human calibration. CDP identifies reduced cross-country divergence as cultural flattening and increased divergence as cultural caricature. To evaluate CDP, we conduct experiments across four LLM backbones, three persona-based prompting methods, and two survey domains, the World Values Survey (WVS) and the Big Five Personality Test. The results reveal a systematic discrepancy between conventional fidelity metrics and CDP. Controlled experiments show that CDP changes monotonically as cross-country divergence is attenuated or amplified, while the corresponding changes in JSD remain relatively small. In our audit of real LLM generations, DeepPersona-Inspired prompting is frequently favored by conventional fidelity metrics but exhibits the strongest flattening in every model–domain block. CDP thus complements fidelity metrics by directly quantifying the attenuation or amplification of cross-country divergence.

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